Hey friends and stalkers, it's finally time to announce my Oscar predictions for this year's Academy Awards Ceremony.
I like to cover both the big races (Actor, Actress, Picture) and the minor ones (Costumes, Make-Up, Sound Editing).
Here we go. . .
And remember, my predictions are usually pretty correct. And this year's races aren't very close anyway.
Best Picture:
Avatar, The Blind Side, District 9, An Education, The Hurt Locker, Inglourious Basterds, Precious, A Serious Man, Up, Up in the Air.
SHOULD/WILL WIN: The Hurt Locker. It's one the WGA, PGA, and the DGA. The PGA Awards almost always win the Oscar and it's just an amazing film. Avatar is the only other film that could win, also I'm not completely ruling out Inglourious Basterds, it's getting more and more supporters as the race goes on.
Best Director:
Kathryn Bigelow, The Hurt Locker
Lee Daniels, Precious
Jason Reitman, Up in the Air
James Cameron, Avatar
Quentin Tarantino, Inglourious Basterds
SHOULD/WILL WIN: Kathryn Bigelow. Only an expert filmmaker could've captured the intensity and preciseness of The Hurt Locker like she did. She is like the anti-James Cameron (fun fact: they were once married) who likes big bold visuals. She goes for the nitty gritty nailbiter images. It's definitely hers to lose. (fun fact: if she wins, she'll be the first woman ever to win this award)
Best Actress:
Gabourey Sidibe, Precious
Meryl Streep, Julie and Julia
Carey Mulligan, An Education
Sandra Bullock, The Blind Side
Helen Mirren, The Last Station
SHOULD WIN: Carey Mulligan. There's still a chance that this pint sized brilliant actress can steal the trophy. But really this one's between Meryl and Sandra, and while Sandra has been cleaning up at every awards show the winner will be. . .
WILL WIN: Meryl Streep. I just honestly don't see the Academy rewarding Sandra for a movie just because she was decent in it and it wasn't a romantic comedy. Meryl completely dominated as Julia Child. She deserves it so much more.
Best Actor:
George Clooney, Up in the Air
Colin Firth, A Single Man
Jeff Bridges, Crazy Heart
Jeremy Renner, The Hurt Locker
Morgan Freeman, Invictus
SHOULD/WILL WIN: Jeff Bridges. He's literally won every award this season that matters. Nobody is competition anymore. However, Jeremy is gaining more and more support. Colin Firth was so heartbreaking in A Single Man and he won the BAFTA, but there's no real competition here. Congrats, Jeff.
Best Supporting Actress:
Anna Kendrick, Up in the Air
Vera Farmiga, Up in the Air
Penelope Cruz, Nine
Mo'Nique, Precious
Maggie Gyllenhaal, Crazy Heart
SHOULD/WILL WIN: Mo'Nique, surest win of the year.
Best Supporting Actor:
Christopher Plummer, The Last Station
Stanley Tucci, The Lovely Bones
Matt Damon, Invictus,
Woody Harrelson, The Messenger
Christoph Waltz, Inglourious Basterds
SHOULD/WILL WIN: Christoph Waltz. He gave an absolute acting master class in Basterds. Charming, frighening, hilarious, and manipulative. He's had this award since last summer when the film opened in Cannes. However, I wouldn't be too upset if Woody snuck in a win, he gave the best performance of his career in The Messenger.
Best Original Screenplay:
Inglourious Basterds
The Messenger
The Hurt Locker
Up
A Serious Man
SHOULD WIN: Inglourious Basterds. Just for having the balls to re-write history. Up I think has the biggest chance that any animated film has had at winning this award.
WILL WIN: The Hurt Locker. It won the Writer's Guild Award, it's win here isn't certain but it has the best chance.
Best Adapted Screenplay:
An Education
Up in the Air
Precious
In the Loop
District 9
SHOULD/WILL WIN: Up in the Air. Jason Reitman took the book and completely transformed it into a beautiful and subdued screenplay.
Best Cinematography:
The Hurt Locker
The White Ribbon
Harry Potter and the Half-Blood Prince
Avatar
Inglourious Basterds
SHOULD/WILL WIN: Avatar. James Cameron is a visual genius.
Best Sound Editing:
Avatar
Star Trek
Up
The Hurt Locker
Inglourious Basterds
SHOULD/WILL WIN: Avatar. Just expect Avatar to win at least three or four of these technical prizes. Maybe 5
Best Sound Mixing:
Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen
The Hurt Locker
Avatar
Star Trek
Inglourious Basterds
SHOULD/WILL WIN: Avatar. Remember that Pandora wasn't just a beautiful place to look at, it also had very distinct sounds and noises in the background.
Best Film Editing:
District 9
Avatar
Precious
Avatar
Inglourious Basterds
SHOULD/WILL WIN: The Hurt Locker. So much of the tension of that film comes from the precise editing.
Best Make-Up:
Il Divo
The Young Victoria
Star Trek
SHOULD/WILL WIN: Star Trek. It all depends on the taste of this years voters. They may go for the over the top alien prosthetics, or maybe the classic beauty of The Young Victoria. Because there are so many nominations for Sci-Fi films this year I'm going with Star Trek.
Best Costume Design:
Bright Star
Coco Before Chanel
The Imaginarium of Doctor Parnassus
Nine
The Young Victoria
SHOULD/WILL WIN: The Young Victoria. Never bet against an old school period film in a category like this. Never.
Best Original Score:
Avatar
Fantastic Mr. Fox
Sherlock Holmes
Up
SHOULD/WILL WIN: Up. The movie wouldn't have been as heartbreaking without the beautiful music to back it up.
Best Original Song:
Almost There, The Princess and the Frog
Down in New Orleans, The Princess and the Frog
Loin de Paname, Paris 36
Take it All, Nine
The Weary Kind, Crazy Heart
Should Win: Take it All. BEST MOMENT OF THAT MOVIE was Marion tearing it up with this song.
Will Win: The Weary Kind. This Crazy Heart song has been picking up lots of awards this season. The Princess and the Frog would've had a stronger chance with just one nominated song, most recent films with more than one song nominated (Dreamgirls, Enchanted) don't end up winning.
Best Animated Film:
Fantastic Mr. Fox
Coraline
The Princess and the Frog
Up
The Secret of Kells
SHOULD/WILL WIN: Up. No competition here. I mean it is nominated for Best Picture.
Best Visual Effects:
Avatar
Star Trek
District 9
SHOULD/WILL WIN: Avatar. The only award that James Cameron is guaranteed to win.
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